The Problem with Pew’s Science & Religion Poll
…e formulated. Most popular polls, like Pew studies, are conducted over the phone using a list of simple multiple choice questions. Many forms of public opinion are accurately predicted this way, including voting behavior, because they are easily distilled into multiple choice questions. “Are you voting for Hillary/Sanders or Rubio/Christie next week?” is a straightforward question. Religious beliefs, on the other hand, are fuzzy. They’re dynamic a…
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